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Thursday, June 23, 2005

Game 7 Analysis

Why The Pistons Will Win
Momentum, foul calls, experience. Their victory in the last game proved they can beat the Spurs at SBC. In a game seven, referees will most likely have the "let them play" mentality and will call fewer fouls. Also, Dan Crawford and Ron Garretson will most likely not be working the game tonight. Pistons are something like 13-1 in this year's playoffs when that is the case. Finally, they proved against Miami that they can have the focus at the end of a game seven to clinch it. They're undefeated in series clinching games.
Why The Spurs Will Win
Home court, adjustments, something to prove. Having the crowd behind you is a factor and the Spurs have only lost 6 games at SBC this year. The stat sheet shows they lost the last game on missed three point opportunities. Detroit was 8-17 (47%) and the Spurs were 8-28 (28%). I don't see the Spurs taking and missing as many 3's in game 7. And you can't underestimate the drive a team has when there is something to prove. The Spurs gave up a game that everyone says they should've won and TD is getting a lot of criticism for missed free throws and not making the necessary plays to close out games. The Pistons weren't expected to get to a game 7 and nobody would blame them for not winning two road games to clinch a championship.

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